Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.882375 0.994057 1.115822 1.258660 1.421909 1.602988 1.819511
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.705265 0.854708 1.031206 1.255972 1.535924 1.874841 2.318815
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.599260 0.761143 0.962481 1.233063 1.589880 2.048026 2.686761
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.543355 0.717621 0.943933 1.262218 1.702851 2.297976 3.173873
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.484872 0.661544 0.899422 1.247030 1.748545 2.455888 3.546876
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.446351 0.627067 0.878460 1.258831 1.828764 2.665377 4.013230
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.406115 0.585386 0.842037 1.242534 1.863203 2.807572 4.390235
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.374229 0.552334 0.814172 1.234641 1.907109 2.965372 4.806373
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.335583 0.505524 0.761171 1.182072 1.874049 2.995817 5.012942
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.318704 0.490368 0.754844 1.201767 1.958070 3.223068 5.578989
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.304246 0.477600 0.750800 1.224074 2.047470 3.466835 6.201794
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.288339 0.461090 0.739110 1.231991 2.111991 3.672495 6.777751
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.272083 0.443114 0.724135 1.233898 2.167851 3.871707 7.374063
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.259310 0.430002 0.716284 1.247572 2.246401 4.121278 8.103599
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.241311 0.406515 0.688622 1.222771 2.250119 4.227893 8.553481
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.233535 0.400186 0.690365 1.251928 2.359232 4.550923 9.501754
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.219746 0.382137 0.669702 1.236842 2.379652 4.697201 10.083240
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.210950 0.372428 0.663380 1.248542 2.454490 4.962728 10.968101
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.199080 0.356233 0.643806 1.232391 2.470148 5.103953 11.582526
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.189218 0.343111 0.629058 1.224569 2.502324 5.283924 12.314066
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.174682 0.320212 0.594028 1.172471 2.434344 5.233662 12.469803
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.169662 0.315258 0.593524 1.191990 2.525068 5.553655 13.609640
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.165214 0.311105 0.594262 1.214097 2.623577 5.902457 14.877057